"Well China has definitely started to play their hand more blatantly, I think it would be dumb to ignore them as a genuine threat much longer."
Did the Biden administration ignore them, though? I'm very (very) far from being an expert on the subject, but Biden’s export controls plan to limit China's access to advanced chips were often pre…
"Well China has definitely started to play their hand more blatantly, I think it would be dumb to ignore them as a genuine threat much longer."
Did the Biden administration ignore them, though? I'm very (very) far from being an expert on the subject, but Biden’s export controls plan to limit China's access to advanced chips were often presented as a very aggressive move. The push to ban TikTok also took place under his administration.
Additionally, people on Metaculus seem to believe that under a Democratic administration, the probability of the U.S. intervening in the event of a Chinese attack on Taiwan would be higher than under Trump. So, it’s not obvious to me that a Kamala Harris administration would have been particularly naive on China.
(And this is coming from someone who thinks quite a few of Trump’s recent executive orders were actually good — I’m far from a hater.)
"Well China has definitely started to play their hand more blatantly, I think it would be dumb to ignore them as a genuine threat much longer."
Did the Biden administration ignore them, though? I'm very (very) far from being an expert on the subject, but Biden’s export controls plan to limit China's access to advanced chips were often presented as a very aggressive move. The push to ban TikTok also took place under his administration.
Additionally, people on Metaculus seem to believe that under a Democratic administration, the probability of the U.S. intervening in the event of a Chinese attack on Taiwan would be higher than under Trump. So, it’s not obvious to me that a Kamala Harris administration would have been particularly naive on China.
(And this is coming from someone who thinks quite a few of Trump’s recent executive orders were actually good — I’m far from a hater.)